Question for the stat geeks

Posted on March 14th, 2010 by jack
  • On Saturday Wynalda made a comment which I thought was typically out of his arse, but then again, I'm not sure.

    I don't remember the exact quote, but it was to the effect that "most goals are scored in the second half".

    In a nutshell, is that true? Anyone have the breakdown percentage-wise?

    Just wondering how accurate or close to accurate Eric is.


  • Don't I know it. Firsthand. :(


  • thanx guys, i knew the great minds (and geeks!) on Big Soccer would come through for me!! :D

    thanx again!

    i guess Eric was right, i have to give him credit, though when he said it he made it sound like no goals at all were scored in the 1st half. from what i can tell it's a 43% to 57% breakdown. interesting stuff.
    if i ever get chosen for the radio shack goal pick (which is when eric made the comment), i'll be going for the 2nd half.


  • These are from some calculations beineke did in this earlier thread
    http://www.bigsoccer.com/forum/showthread.php?t=70734&page=3&pp=15

    From them it looks like Wynalda was right (and there is a linearly-increasing trend for goals scored as the game goes on, but a lot of that is probably due to overtime scoring, which is not controlled for in these numbers).

    MLS all-time totals by 15-minute slice...

    474 541 631 625 669 872

    http://www.mlsnet.com/statistics/pdf/AT_league.pdf

    Since Flashman asked for percentages, here they are:


    15 0.12
    30 0.14
    45 0.17
    60 0.16
    75 0.18
    90 0.23


  • You can find all that information here. Scroll down about 3/4 of the way. Yuo will find information broken down by half as well as by every 15 minutes for goal scoring.

    From a quick look at this years numbers, Eric was correct.

    http://www.mlsnet.com/MLS/stats/index.jsp?club=mls

    Andy


  • You can find all that information here. Scroll down about 3/4 of the way. Yuo will find information broken down by half as well as by every 15 minutes for goal scoring.

    From a quick look at this years numbers, Eric was correct.

    http://www.mlsnet.com/MLS/stats/index.jsp?club=mls

    Andy

    These are from some calculations beineke did in this earlier thread
    http://www.bigsoccer.com/forum/showthread.php?t=70734&page=3&pp=15

    From them it looks like Wynalda was right (and there is a linearly-increasing trend for goals scored as the game goes on, but a lot of that is probably due to overtime scoring, which is not controlled for in these numbers).

    MLS all-time totals by 15-minute slice...

    474 541 631 625 669 872

    http://www.mlsnet.com/statistics/pdf/AT_league.pdf


  • The Galaxy has been scoring some amazing percentage of their goals in the second half this year.

    19 out of 27 total goals or over 70%. That is pretty amazing.

    And when you add to that that they have given up 66% of their goals against (14/21) in the second half, that is an incredible amount of fireworks in just 45 minutes.

    Andy


  • The Galaxy has been scoring some amazing percentage of their goals in the second half this year.







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